Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.154776 0.179688 0.207363 0.240396 0.278769 0.321963 0.374307
2025-04-13 0.114524 0.147329 0.187681 0.241014 0.309751 0.395498 0.510827
2025-04-20 0.096977 0.133907 0.182643 0.251769 0.347515 0.475796 0.661339
2025-04-27 0.084513 0.123616 0.178259 0.260359 0.380968 0.552282 0.815284
2025-05-04 0.074882 0.115117 0.174194 0.267495 0.411735 0.627272 0.975770
2025-05-11 0.066095 0.106214 0.167775 0.269426 0.433907 0.691092 1.126698
2025-05-18 0.058089 0.097185 0.159629 0.267003 0.448117 0.743267 1.264844
2025-05-25 0.050438 0.087570 0.149104 0.258942 0.451447 0.777369 1.376358
2025-06-01 0.046625 0.083831 0.147670 0.265717 0.480247 0.856822 1.575115
2025-06-08 0.042432 0.078832 0.143360 0.266698 0.498607 0.919747 1.751641
2025-06-15 0.039347 0.075410 0.141353 0.271432 0.524067 0.997930 1.965717
2025-06-22 0.035305 0.069676 0.134388 0.265891 0.529222 1.038469 2.111858
2025-06-29 0.032010 0.065055 0.129119 0.263244 0.540203 1.092495 2.294139
2025-07-06 0.029441 0.061576 0.125679 0.263862 0.557898 1.162130 2.518305
2025-07-13 0.028285 0.060832 0.127592 0.275651 0.600073 1.286588 2.874986
2025-07-20 0.026987 0.059619 0.128368 0.285066 0.638242 1.407020 3.238641
2025-07-27 0.025655 0.058160 0.128432 0.292888 0.673787 1.525856 3.614281
2025-08-03 0.023981 0.055732 0.126097 0.295005 0.696603 1.618894 3.942018
2025-08-10 0.022116 0.052641 0.121923 0.292350 0.707927 1.686823 4.218407
2025-08-17 0.020015 0.048747 0.115471 0.283513 0.703360 1.716741 4.404945
2025-08-24 0.019168 0.047767 0.115723 0.290940 0.739494 1.848938 4.867857
2025-08-31 0.018000 0.045858 0.113529 0.292016 0.759790 1.944365 5.247967
2025-09-07 0.017161 0.044678 0.112985 0.297205 0.791258 2.071698 5.730054